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BusinessSingapore 19-07-2017 05:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Unregistered (Post 98821)
Whats wrong with that? You a funds promoter? If yes, can you recommend what to buy, how to buy and ehere to buy? Btw, i am not the 34 yrs old female.

There is no right and wrong in investment decisions, just whatever is more comfortable. Afterall emotions triumph facts.

On funds, I do hold a license that allows me access to most investment products but I personally prefer UTs for a myriad of reasons.

On recommendations, thanks for the suggestion but I am more comfortable in giving impromptu suggestions and opinions on the chill side. If I ever wanted to publish/recommend an investment, I could always go back to my work. Which is kind of ironic if you know what I mean :D

lazyplane 21-07-2017 10:01 PM

Not to side anyone but i also have to disagree with your post as well

1. FD is capital guarantee and rather short term. I get back all my capital + interest and i dont need to care about what happens to market prices in the world eg Fed interest rate. Not happy with FD - just unwind and redeposit...At most lose the interest and that usually is enough to cover the admin fees.

2. And since you are so knowledgeable about bonds, you should also know what you are referring to interest (coupons) is not the right way to evaluate the bonds "interest rate". For bonds, we look at the yield to maturity which is equivalent to the effective interest rate for FD. The Temasek bond you mentioned yield to maturity is closer to 3.5% . See this link

https://www.bondsupermart.com/main/b...t/SG7W86960343

Moreover, this bond maturity is 2050... u wait long long if you ever want to see your capital back again without getting hit again by transaction fee for unwinding + the bid/ask spread. And if you ever need to unwind.. u better pray interest rate has dropped significantly (unlikely) from the time u purchased the bond.. otherwise u lose even more.

So, you happy with your bond.. i happy with my FD...
And i dont have so many 250k like u can buy so many bonds. I just small time player but i can put many FDs.



Quote:

Originally Posted by BusinessSingapore (Post 98818)
Thanks for the reply.

However I have to disagree on most if not all points.

Bonds come in "shapes and sizes" from sovereign to corporate issuers; from AAA rated to unrated. To put it simply, there are safe ones and there are speculative ones. The one that you mentioned happened to be the ones with a high level of risk, issued by an industry that is undergoing a lot of challenges now. Swiber ISIN SG55E0991457 bonds are High Yield unrated Bonds that pays 7.15% coupons, that itself should already hold enough information to tell investors this is a riskier bond, from the name itself high yield, unrated and high coupon. So no, its not a fair comparison for a low risk appetite investor.

However, if you look at bonds that are more in context say an AAA rated bonds by Temasek Holdings SGD issued bonds ISIN SG7W86960343, you are looking at a 4.2% coupon (interest) which is a good 2X to 3X higher than a FD. And if you are concern about liquidity and ticket size since bonds tix size is usually 250K and up then go into a SGD bond fund that buys into local bank bonds (OCBC UOB DBS), Temasek Bonds and SG Gov Bonds. If you pick a top 10% peer group rating SGD bond fund you will be yielding 3%+ Net of management fees averagely.

My position is simple, picking the most efficient returns on the same level of risk. To me, the risk of FD is the bank's chance of default and whether or not the bank defaults depends on the SG Gov (local banks). So ultimately I am placing a bet on SG Gov, and if I can put my money into Temasek, DBS SG Gov Bonds that gives me more returns, why should I want to put it into FD when the underlying risks are the same?:confused:

That said, I fully understand (after reading the replies by both of you) your positions and I have to conclude it is seeking emotional safety(very impt btw) but it isn't factual.

You gotta be joking man, all major index across the world has returned positively over the past 12 months and I mean all, literally. Time to open your eyes and make a killing now.:cool:


BusinessSingapore 27-07-2017 04:32 PM

I have no desire to change your belief. I wrote long posts trying to explain my position and to simply demonstrate a better alternative on efficiency. As I expected, you would not understand what I wrote.

Our understanding on efficiency (risk & return) is fundamentally different. You define risk free as signing a contract with a "capital guaranteed" on it whilst I take into consideration the chances of a bank default and the underlying guarantor in the event of default as risk free. Your understanding of FD being capital guaranteed is also untrue. SDIC only insures a maximum of $50,000 SGD. This means that all your eligible accounts maintained with different branches of a full bank or finance company are aggregated and insured up to $50,000 with the same bank or finance company in the event of default.

Sure on yield to maturity, returns are measured differently on the secondary market. Did not want to confuse the readers. And again I think you are misleading the readers as not many people hold 30 year bonds to maturity. People buy bonds because of the immense liquidity on the secondary markets and can be traded for a small profit or loss.

Which is why I do not ever recommending buying into bonds directly for retail players or even AIs with a few million investable cash as the leverage indi players have is just too low, just go into a SGD bond fund instead. Find a top 10% peer group bond fund that buys into local bank, SIA, Singpost bonds and you are good to go for a 3-4% year on year returns with all the liquidity equivalent of a FD(takes about a week to sell) but with 2-3X more returns. Not to mention almost negligible standard deviation.

Go google United SGD Bond fund and see for yourself the returns and the "volatility" you claim under Standard Deviation. YTM stands at 2.9% with 2.1 years avg maturity.

Oh and this isn't even in the top 10% peer group. Yawns. Back to sleep.

lazyplane 27-07-2017 05:56 PM

Ha Ha... didnt you say : Afterall emotions triumph facts.
Just to address a few pts
1. i dont think i mention investing above S$50k in FD under 1 individual name . Please show me where i mentioned that if i did. I am well aware of the SDIC restrictions. But are you aware of how many banks there are ? And if you include spouse / parents / parents in law... one can easily spread the risk and still be within 50k per bank under 1 individual account name.
2. Like you mentioned, bonds have to be traded. And because you know now the fallacy of your argument and the risk of bonds vs fd as an investment… I see that you now are saying "dont want to confuse people..."
Please lah, u lose argument, dont say don’t confuse.. I am not the one whom tried to impress others or convince others that i know a lot about risk / returns and efficiency ..
And to quote , I believe you stated “I am always curious as to why young people (34) like yourself channel the majority of their savings into FD where a higher yield could be easily attained in bonds or even bond funds. Given that you don't seem to need the full 180k of liquidity.

Genuinely wants to understand your perspective, thanks!“
Then started a very lengthy post to show how trading bonds can yield better returns…And when told that bonds comes with risk… another lengthy post to try to impress others about your knowledge etc.
And when someone whom really knows their stuff challenges you, you are stretching your example to investing a FEW MILLION investable cash in bonds just to justify your argument for bonds…

180k to few million is a lot of hoops…

3. Finally, I think you are the kind whom write long post hoping to impress people to believe in theory when in fact, you dont know the basic or just starting out. Please dont quote stuff you just read from books and try to show how smart you are.

And to quote : as I expected, you would not understand what I wrote.


Quote:

Originally Posted by BusinessSingapore (Post 98995)
I have no desire to change your belief. I wrote long posts trying to explain my position and to simply demonstrate a better alternative on efficiency. As I expected, you would not understand what I wrote.

Our understanding on efficiency (risk & return) is fundamentally different. You define risk free as signing a contract with a "capital guaranteed" on it whilst I take into consideration the chances of a bank default and the underlying guarantor in the event of default as risk free. Your understanding of FD being capital guaranteed is also untrue. SDIC only insures a maximum of $50,000 SGD. This means that all your eligible accounts maintained with different branches of a full bank or finance company are aggregated and insured up to $50,000 with the same bank or finance company in the event of default.

Sure on yield to maturity, returns are measured differently on the secondary market. Did not want to confuse the readers. And again I think you are misleading the readers as not many people hold 30 year bonds to maturity. People buy bonds because of the immense liquidity on the secondary markets and can be traded for a small profit or loss.

Which is why I do not ever recommending buying into bonds directly for retail players or even AIs with a few million investable cash as the leverage indi players have is just too low, just go into a SGD bond fund instead. Find a top 10% peer group bond fund that buys into local bank, SIA, Singpost bonds and you are good to go for a 3-4% year on year returns with all the liquidity equivalent of a FD(takes about a week to sell) but with 2-3X more returns. Not to mention almost negligible standard deviation.

Go google United SGD Bond fund and see for yourself the returns and the "volatility" you claim under Standard Deviation. YTM stands at 2.9% with 2.1 years avg maturity.

Oh and this isn't even in the top 10% peer group. Yawns. Back to sleep.


Unknown Kid 20-11-2017 10:32 PM

24 years old
 
24 years old Male
Diploma Holder
Working for 1 year 3 months in civil sector
Monthly gross about $3.4K including OTs
Bonus 2-3 months

Savings in cash = $17k
REIT Stock = $7k

How am I doing and and advice for me? 🙏

Unregistered 23-11-2017 12:01 AM

25 yo 2 years working exp
32k stocks
20k cash
17kt in alternative investments
10k in crypto
Salary 6.7k/mth
33k debts (excluding property loans)
own one property in Malaysia worth $230k

Unregistered 23-02-2018 11:24 PM

18 y/o, poly yr 2 student

Net worth about 80k SGD (All in Crypto)
Cash abt 5k SGD

How am i doing?

Konfidant 27-02-2018 03:51 PM

Nearly 10 years work experience. 34 years old.

Have two properties - paid off my parents' HDB, but still making payments on my own private property; around halfway there, still have about 700k left to pay off.

Have about 3-4k in various hard cash currencies lying around because of frequent work trips. Try to have at least 50k in the bank. Never dabbled in crypto, but I have another 15-20k in stocks.

Judging from this thread, I guess I'm fairly conservative.

Unregistered 27-02-2018 07:48 PM

Grisonis carrer
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Konfidant (Post 105096)
Nearly 10 years work experience. 34 years old.

Have two properties - paid off my parents' HDB, but still making payments on my own private property; around halfway there, still have about 700k left to pay off.

Have about 3-4k in various hard cash currencies lying around because of frequent work trips. Try to have at least 50k in the bank. Never dabbled in crypto, but I have another 15-20k in stocks.

Judging from this thread, I guess I'm fairly conservative.

May I know if you are married?

How much is ur private property?

Konfidant 28-02-2018 04:23 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Unregistered (Post 105108)
May I know if you are married?

How much is ur private property?

My private property that I'm paying off is to the sum of 1.2m; current value is probably 1.4 or 1.45 though. Not married. Don't plan to for the future, honestly. Had two bad experiences in a row that turned me off getting attached.


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