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Year end bonus for civil service

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  #121 (permalink)  
Old 16-11-2021, 05:13 PM
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Originally Posted by Unregistered View Post
s://sgstocksinvesting.com/2021-year-end-bonus-for-civil-servants-service-estimate-revealed/
Article give a prediction of 0.6. Ok la not bad!

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  #122 (permalink)  
Old 17-11-2021, 10:12 AM
Bikerz
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Even in good times, getting one month was quite rare. We're still in recovery mode and after taking out a lot from the Reserves this past year due to the pandemic, giving out bonus like 1 month is a bit too much considering they only received 0.3 in July.

They should be thankful if it's anything between the 0.4-0.7 region.

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  #123 (permalink)  
Old 17-11-2021, 10:23 AM
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If not wrong, we had abt 1mth when gdp was ard 2 to 3%.. so at gdp 5 to 6%, 0.7 to 1 mth is reasonable.. we shall see

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  #124 (permalink)  
Old 17-11-2021, 01:51 PM
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Unlikely will be 1 month la. Cannot just see forecasted GDP but also current state.
We're in a recovery period and have already used up lots of reserves.

I'm banking on a more conservative 0.3 - 0.4 month


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  #125 (permalink)  
Old 17-11-2021, 02:32 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bikerz View Post
Even in good times, getting one month was quite rare. We're still in recovery mode and after taking out a lot from the Reserves this past year due to the pandemic, giving out bonus like 1 month is a bit too much considering they only received 0.3 in July.

They should be thankful if it's anything between the 0.4-0.7 region.
2017 GDP 4.52% 1 mth year-end bonus
2018 GDP 3.50% 1 mth year-end bonus
2019 GDP 1.35% 0.1 mth year-end bonus
2020 GDP -5.39% 0 year-end bonus
2021 GDP forecast to grow 6% to 7% in 2021.

Getting 1 month is actually very common loh.
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  #126 (permalink)  
Old 17-11-2021, 02:35 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Unregistered View Post
Unlikely will be 1 month la. Cannot just see forecasted GDP but also current state.
We're in a recovery period and have already used up lots of reserves.

I'm banking on a more conservative 0.3 - 0.4 month
But track record shows that during 2008 crisis, we get 0 bonus during year end. The following year, we got 1 month bonus. Also although we used up a lot of reserves, at the same time Singapore also earn money during this pandemic times. So 0.7 and above is not unlikely.
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  #127 (permalink)  
Old 17-11-2021, 02:43 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Unregistered View Post
Unlikely will be 1 month la. Cannot just see forecasted GDP but also current state.
We're in a recovery period and have already used up lots of reserves.

I'm banking on a more conservative 0.3 - 0.4 month
Official Foreign Reserves
Data on Singapore's foreign currency assets.
2016 356 billion
2017 373 billion
2018 392 billion
2019 375 billion
2020 478 billion
2021 565 billion(Sept)

As mentioned in a previous post, we have already made back what we spent loh. With excess to spare some more. K-shape growth. If you are in the correct industry, you are doing very well. The bonus has always been tied to GDP growth and not the politics of the day. At 6-7% GDP growth, EOY bonus should be at least 1 mth or more. In 2013, when GDP was 4.8%, EOY bonus was 1.1mth.
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  #128 (permalink)  
Old 17-11-2021, 03:27 PM
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Power sia so many experts here predicting the economy knn machiam like economist like that

If u all expert also can predict when COE price will drop? I want to buy new car.
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  #129 (permalink)  
Old 17-11-2021, 03:47 PM
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Economy is In recovery mode from lower base. Max bonus also 0.5
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  #130 (permalink)  
Old 17-11-2021, 05:17 PM
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I think people forget that besides GDP growth and economic recovery, there is another element which has no mathematical computation which is called Public Sentiment.

These 3 elements formed our actual AWS.
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