Most likely yes to a paycut, unless you were headhunted specifically. You are trading money for stability. It would be nice to have both, but you don't, not at this level of government service.
I estimate you may be offered $4000-5000. Depends what job you've applied for.
The typical Civil Service employee that at least pulls his own weight ends up getting 13-15 months salary as a annual package because of various performance bonuses, special bonuses, AWS/13 month, etc.
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