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  #1007 (permalink)  
Old 30-11-2019, 01:10 PM
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Default Logical estimate

2009 recession - growth was negative 2% to 2.5% and we still got $750 one time lump sum.

This year growth forcast is 0.5% to 1%. So 0.1 month is unlikely as some people mentioned!!

Looking forward, growth for 2020 is expected between 0.5% and 2.5%.

Based on past data.

1.1% growth - 0.5 month
1.9% growth - 0.65 month

So estimate shd be 0.35 month.
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