this is quite a sensible way of looking at it. my experience is, if they don't call within the week, means no chance. Especially now so many fresh grads (or those that apply early) with a mind like a sponge (very teachable) , excited and waiting to pounce on any opportunity.

the only difference is education institutes. I feel that they like to call around 2 months before class commence. so if you apply in Sep.. u wait very long.